With a 945-point lead over #2 Rafa Nadal going into next week's ATP World Tour Finals, Roger Federer's "magic number" to clinch the ATP World Tour Championship (a.k.a. Year-end No. 1) is three, which means any combination of 3 Federer wins or Nadal losses.
The official ATP site has the detailed scenarios here:
http://www.atpworldtour.com/News/Tennis/2009/11/Finals-Battle-ATP-World-Tour-Champion.aspx
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